Testing a novel spatially-explicit dynamic modelling approach in the scope of the laurel forest management for the endangered Azores bullfinch (Pyrrhula murina) conservation.

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dc.date.accessioned2015-03-17T14:23:43Z
dc.date.available2015-03-17T14:23:43Z
dc.date.issued2012
dc.description.abstractThe Azores bullfinch (Pyrrhula murina) is an endemic bird of São Miguel island (Azores Archipelago, Portugal), currently threatened by two of the major causes of biodiversity loss worldwide: invasion of native habitats by exotic plants and habitat destruction by land use changes. The aim of this research was to develop and test a novel spatially explicit modelling framework that predicts the Azores bullfinch responses to alternative realistic scenarios of native forest management. This was done by integrating Multi-Model Inference statistical analysis, Stochastic-Dynamic Modelling and Geographic Information Systems under a common framework relating bird population trends to changes in the surrounding habitats. Overall, in the next 25 years, the Azores bullfinch breeding population was predicted to increase around 19% as a consequence of habitat management actions already implemented (‘‘LIFE Priolo’’ project) or around 27% in the context of realistic future habitat restoration scenarios. These results represent, respectively, a supplementary increase of more 6% or more 13% in the Azores bullfinch abundance when compared with the trends simulated for the scenario without management. Nevertheless, those actions seemed to be relatively ineffective in promoting the expansion of the species from the actual restricted favourable area, essentially due to local forestry dynamics and on-going plant invasion processes. This novel integrative approach provides a promising baseline to support ecological models with increased realism and predictive power, making the outputs more useful and intuitive to decision-makers and environmental managers.pt
dc.identifier.citationBastos R. et al, 2012pt
dc.identifier.otherdoi: 10.1016/j.biocon.2012.01.009
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10348/4306
dc.language.isoengpt
dc.peerreviewedyespt
dc.relation.ispartofCITAB - Centro de Investigação e de Tecnologias Agro-Ambientais e Biológicaspt
dc.rightsrestricted accesspt
dc.subjectAzores bullfinchpt
dc.subjectHabitat managementpt
dc.subjectHabitat managementpt
dc.subjectInvasive plant speciespt
dc.subjectLaurel forest conservationpt
dc.subjectSpatially dynamic modellingpt
dc.subjectStochastic dynamic methodologypt
dc.titleTesting a novel spatially-explicit dynamic modelling approach in the scope of the laurel forest management for the endangered Azores bullfinch (Pyrrhula murina) conservation.pt
dc.typejournal articlept
degois.publication.firstPage243pt
degois.publication.issue147pt
degois.publication.lastPage254pt
degois.publication.locationElsevierpt
degois.publication.titleBiological Conservationpt
dspace.entity.typePublicationen
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